Lewes vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
LEW
1 - 3
WEL
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
EBB
1 - 0
LEW
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
DOV
4 - 0
LEW
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
THU
3 - 1
LEW
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 3
SAL
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
EAS
4 - 2
HAV
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 2
EAS
54%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
WES
0 - 2
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
SUT
0 - 4
EAS
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
EAS
1 - 1
SUT
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |