Lewes vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 1
LEW
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
2 - 1
THU
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
STA
1 - 0
LEW
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
1 - 2
LEW
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
EBB
0 - 2
DOV
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
1 - 1
STA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 2
WEL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WOK
0 - 1
DOV
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DOV
0 - 0
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |