Lewes vs Dorchester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FAR
1 - 0
LEW
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 1
CHM
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 1
LEW
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 2
HAM
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 1
LEW
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
DOR
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DOR
3 - 1
BOR
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 2
EBB
27%
24%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CHM
2 - 0
DOR
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
HAM
2 - 2
DOR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |