Lewes vs Cheshunt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
LEW
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LEW
0 - 3
EAS
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
LEW
77%
14%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LEW
0 - 1
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
0 - 1
LEW
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
3 - 0
CHE
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 3
LEA
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
BOW
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 0
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 3
ENF
25%
23%
53%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |