Lewes vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 1
LEW
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 2
HAM
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 1
LEW
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 3
DOV
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 1
LEW
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WES
2 - 2
CHM
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CHM
2 - 0
DOR
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
CHM
2 - 0
DAR
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHM
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
3 - 2
CHM
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |