Lewes vs AFC Totton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
LEW
4 - 1
BOG
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 0
LEW
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEW
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LEW
2 - 2
ASH
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 0
LEW
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Totton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
AFT
10%
19%
70%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AFT
1 - 0
DOR
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
AFT
5 - 1
TAU
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFT
1 - 1
GLO
64%
20%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
PLY
1 - 2
AFT
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |