Europa League 1/16
Global 2-4
Levski Sofia vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1983 |
LSO
1 - 2
LSO
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 1
LSO
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
LSO
1 - 1
CHB
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
FKH
2 - 1
LSO
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
LSO
1 - 0
STU
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1983 |
WAT
0 - 0
WHU
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
EVE
1 - 0
WAT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 1
LSO
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 3
NOR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
WBA
2 - 0
WAT
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |