Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
2º
20
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
8.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
LSO
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
OFK
0 - 2
LSO
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
BER
65%
23%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
CSK
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
HEB
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 0
BOT
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
SEP
9%
16%
75%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
SEP
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 2
LUD
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SEP
2 - 3
LSO
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |