Europa League 1/16
Global 1-4
Levski Sofia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
LPL
0 - 1
LSO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
LSO
5 - 0
BER
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1978 |
LSO
3 - 1
OLP
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
LSO
4 - 1
AKA
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CVA
3 - 1
LSO
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 0
ASC
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ROM
0 - 3
ACM
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 0
AVE
76%
16%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
LKO
1 - 0
ACM
3%
12%
85%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ACM
2 - 2
FCC
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |