Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-6
Levski Sofia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
CVA
2 - 3
LSO
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LSO
2 - 0
DOB
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ACM
5 - 1
LSO
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1967 |
LSO
4 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
LSO
3 - 1
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 4
ACM
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ACM
5 - 1
LSO
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAG
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |