Levski Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
2º
2º
5
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
83% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
15% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 0
LSO
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
3 - 0
FLK
60%
25%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
LPL
0 - 2
LSO
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
BVR
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 6
LSO
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
BOT
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
HEB
70%
18%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 1
SSO
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
HEB
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
SVA
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |