Europa League 1/16
Global 1-6
Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
LSO
2 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
LSO
0 - 0
DYN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
FKM
2 - 1
LSO
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
LSO
7 - 1
OFK
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
RBD
0 - 4
AZA
6%
11%
83%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AZA
12%
17%
71%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 7
AZA
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |