Champions League Last 16
Global 2-4
Levski Sofia vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
LSO
0 - 0
BER
74%
15%
10%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
AKA
0 - 0
LSO
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
SLA
2 - 2
LSO
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
LSO
5 - 0
BVR
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LSO
3 - 0
SLA
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 2
VOL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
AJA
4 - 0
LSK
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
TEL
0 - 3
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 0
GAE
79%
13%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |