Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-9
Levante vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
ZAR
7 - 2
LEV
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
LEV
5 - 2
BAR
81%
12%
8%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
BAR
3 - 1
LEV
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
LEV
2 - 0
ELC
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
CCF
3 - 0
LEV
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
ZAR
7 - 2
LEV
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
RUN
0 - 4
ZAR
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1965 |
ZAR
1 - 1
WHU
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
ZAR
5 - 1
RUN
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
ATM
2 - 3
ZAR
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |