Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-3
Levante vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 3
LEV
60%
19%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ALC
5 - 2
LEV
61%
18%
22%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
LEV
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
16%
14%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
GRA
1 - 2
LEV
55%
20%
25%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
LEV
4 - 1
GIM
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 3
LEV
60%
19%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ATH
6 - 2
MUR
85%
9%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 0
OVI
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |