Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-5
Levante vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
ALB
3 - 0
LEV
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
NOV
4 - 4
LEV
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LEV
0 - 1
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
LEV
4 - 0
FCB
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
OSA
1 - 0
LEV
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
SLL
1 - 2
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
NOV
4 - 4
LEV
29%
29%
42%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
NOV
2 - 1
CDM
30%
29%
41%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
CRE
0 - 3
NOV
11%
24%
65%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
NOV
1 - 2
ONT
36%
29%
35%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |