Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-3
Levante vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 4
LEV
66%
18%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
LEV
5 - 3
ZAR
51%
22%
26%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
LEV
5 - 0
OSA
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
OSA
1 - 1
LEV
69%
16%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
SAB
1 - 1
LEV
44%
22%
35%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
GRA
1 - 3
DEP
53%
21%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
0 - 1
GRA
57%
20%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
RSO
1 - 2
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
DEP
3 - 1
GRA
70%
16%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
GRA
3 - 2
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |