Levadia vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
2º
1º
32
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 1
LEV
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
8 - 1
TUL
85%
11%
3%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
KAL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 1
TAM
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
TRA
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
FLO
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
6 - 1
TSA
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
TAM
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 1
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |