Levadia vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
35
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEV
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 3
FTK
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
LEV
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 2
LEV
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HKR
2 - 2
LEV
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LAH
0 - 4
TRA
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
BFC
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 2
FAS
16%
20%
65%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 1
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |