Levadia vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 0
TAM
86%
11%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LEV
2 - 0
VIL
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
KUR
0 - 2
LEV
7%
18%
76%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 0
FLO
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 0
TAL
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
PAI
0 - 0
TRA
18%
23%
60%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
KAL
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
TRA
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
PAI
0 - 1
TRA
20%
22%
59%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 0
SIK
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |