Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
28
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 2
LEV
18%
23%
58%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
KAL
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
VJK
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
PAI
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
NOM
37%
23%
39%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 0
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
FLO
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
KAL
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |