Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
7º
2º
53
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 2
LEV
17%
24%
59%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
KAL
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEV
8%
19%
73%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 2
LEV
13%
23%
65%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
LEV
10%
22%
68%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 1
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
TAL
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 2
TAL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAL
28%
24%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |