Levadia vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TUL
0 - 1
LEV
10%
18%
72%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LEV
1 - 4
TRA
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TRA
2 - 1
LEV
42%
22%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
TAM
0 - 3
LEV
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TVM
2 - 1
PAR
91%
7%
3%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
TAL
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
KUR
0 - 3
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
FLO
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |