Levadia vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
7º
2º
53
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 2
LEV
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
TAL
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 1
LEV
17%
24%
58%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 6
LEV
8%
14%
78%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
HJP
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 0
KAL
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAI
19%
27%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAI
6 - 3
TAM
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 1
TAL
74%
17%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAI
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |