Levadia vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
2º
1º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
FAS
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 2
LEV
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
FLO
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
LEV
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 6
LEV
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 0
TAM
51%
23%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 2
KUR
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
29%
26%
44%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
KUR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 1
NOM
36%
23%
41%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |