Levadia vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
7º
2º
43
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
LEV
12%
22%
67%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
TAM
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEV
45%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
LEV
22%
22%
56%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
KUR
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
HJP
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 1
FKJ
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 1
KUR
38%
23%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |