CHAN Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Lesotho vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
61.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
LSO
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 1
ETH
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ETH
0 - 0
LSO
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 3
LSO
75%
18%
7%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LSO
3 - 2
RSA
8%
17%
75%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
LSO
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
SOM
81%
15%
4%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 0
ZIM
4%
9%
87%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MUS
75%
18%
7%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 4
ZIM
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | +1 |