Lesotho vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 0
SWZ
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
NAM
2 - 1
LSO
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
LSO
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | -3 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ZIM
1 - 1
BOT
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ZIM
0 - 1
BOT
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZIM
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAM
3 - 1
ZIM
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ZIM
1 - 0
NAM
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |