Lesotho vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UGA
3 - 0
LSO
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 1
CPV
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 1
LSO
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 0
ZIM
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 0
SWZ
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UGA
3 - 0
LSO
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
TAN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NIG
2 - 1
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
CTA
1 - 0
UGA
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
MWI
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |