Lesotho vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
NGA
3 - 0
LSO
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LSO
0 - 0
SLE
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
19%
23%
57%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 4
NGA
13%
24%
63%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SEN
1 - 1
SWZ
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 3
GNB
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
SWZ
0 - 0
CGO
12%
20%
67%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CGO
2 - 0
SWZ
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SWZ
1 - 4
SEN
9%
22%
69%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |