Lesotho vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
LSO
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
0 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 2
ETH
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SWZ
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GNB
3 - 2
ZAM
21%
25%
55%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 1
ZAM
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |