Lesotho vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 0
SDN
20%
27%
53%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GHA
7 - 0
LSO
79%
16%
5%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
14%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 0
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
LSO
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BFA
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
NGA
20%
26%
55%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ETH
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NOR
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |