CHAN Segunda Ronda Final
Global 6-2
Lesotho vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
75.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 2
ZIM
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
0 - 0
UGA
18%
26%
56%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CPV
0 - 0
LSO
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 0
TAN
18%
23%
58%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 1
RSA
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
EGY
0 - 1
RSA
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 0
NAM
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
RSA
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |