Lesotho vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.9%
77.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
2 - 1
LSO
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
LSO
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
2 - 0
SWZ
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
3 - 3
BOT
16%
26%
58%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 2
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 1
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ETH
2 - 1
RSA
18%
25%
58%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CTA
0 - 3
RSA
7%
18%
75%
|
83 | 17 | 66 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
69%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |