CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 0-1
Lesotho vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
LSO
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BDI
2 - 2
LSO
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 3
COD
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
LSO
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CGO
1 - 1
STP
78%
16%
7%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
STP
0 - 5
CGO
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBY
8 - 0
STP
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | -10 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
STP
0 - 1
LBY
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |