Lesotho vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
62.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LSO
0 - 0
ZIM
16%
23%
62%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ZIM
3 - 1
LSO
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 1
ETH
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ETH
0 - 0
LSO
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 1
BEN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 0
TOG
75%
18%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TOG
4 - 1
NGA
17%
26%
58%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
UKR
2 - 2
NGA
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |