Lesotho vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
LSO
15%
22%
64%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
LSO
1 - 1
NAM
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
MWI
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
LSO
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
GAB
1 - 0
MLI
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
LSO
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
GHA
22%
26%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
1 - 0
GAB
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |