WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Lesotho vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
LSO
8%
16%
77%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 3
DZA
13%
24%
63%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BWA
1 - 1
LSO
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 0
BWA
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
LSO
8%
16%
77%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
7%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
ZWE
7%
16%
77%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ZWE
2 - 0
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | 0 |