Lesotho vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
NGA
1 - 1
LSO
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 0
LSO
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
21%
70%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
ANG
4 - 2
LSO
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
BEN
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 1
BEN
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
BEN
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
SEN
18%
28%
55%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 1
BEN
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |