Lesotho vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
63%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
LSO
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
LSO
2 - 0
TAN
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 2
SWZ
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 0
SYC
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
OMA
1 - 4
ALG
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 0
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
SEN
0 - 2
ALG
50%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |