Lesotho vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
LSO
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 1
SYC
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SYC
2 - 0
LSO
22%
22%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
ZIM
15%
23%
63%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZIM
3 - 1
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ETH
3 - 3
ALG
16%
24%
60%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ALG
7 - 1
ETH
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
ETH
1 - 2
ANG
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
CMR
0 - 0
ETH
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COD
3 - 0
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |