Lesotho vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
0 - 0
UGA
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CPV
0 - 0
LSO
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 0
TAN
18%
23%
58%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 2
UGA
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UGA
3 - 0
LSO
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 2
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SYC
1 - 3
BOT
14%
21%
65%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
SYC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ANG
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MTN
2 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |