Lesotho vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 1
GAB
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BFA
2 - 0
LSO
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
KEN
0 - 0
LSO
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 0
KEN
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 3
BFA
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GAB
1 - 0
ANG
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 0
BOT
57%
26%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
ETH
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 1
ANG
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |