Lesotho Defense Force vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho Defense Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MZA
0 - 4
LDF
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 8 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LDF
1 - 1
MFC
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
0 - 5
LDF
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LDF
3 - 1
MFC
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LDF
1 - 1
ACM
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 3
LIO
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 0
LIN
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
2 - 0
MFC
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |