Anglet Genets vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
1º
30
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anglet Genets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LES
5 - 1
SEP
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRF
1 - 2
LES
50%
27%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
LES
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 2
LES
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAY
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 0
LEG
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
COL
37%
25%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
BAY
66%
20%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 0
SPS
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | +1 |