Lerumo Lions vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
78.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CST
1 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 2
HLF
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
MAR
24%
27%
50%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
LER
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
HIG
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |