Lernayin vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
36
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
LER
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
PYU
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 2
BAN
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
LER
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
LER
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
SHI
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 2
ALA
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 5
AVA
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
SHI
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 1
PYU
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |