Lernayin vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NIK
0 - 2
LER
16%
21%
64%
|
60 | 17 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
LER
3 - 0
MIK
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
BKM
3 - 1
LER
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GAN
0 - 1
LER
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LER
6 - 1
ONO
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BKM
4 - 0
SHI
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SHI
9 - 0
ONO
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 0
SHI
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 1
PYU
20%
21%
58%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 2
SHI
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |