Lernayin vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
LER
38%
25%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LER
1 - 1
BAN
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
LER
0 - 1
SHI
26%
25%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
LER
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
LER
0 - 3
ARA
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 3
GAN
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GAN
9 - 0
ARA
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 2
GAN
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GAN
5 - 0
MIK
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARA
4 - 5
GAN
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |