Lernayin vs Noah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
32
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 1
LER
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 3
VAN
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
LER
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LER
2 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
5 - 0
NOA
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 2
NOA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NOA
1 - 3
SHI
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
NOA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |